The record

Every prediction is written to an append-only, hash-chained ledger before its window opens, scored against the base rate it was entered against, and never edited. Misses stay. Check the chain yourself.

No analysis plan is registered yet, so every result below is exploratory. A skill score is shown only after 30 resolved predictions with a baseline. That is a display threshold, not proof that a score is reliable. Predictions that share a window are not independent, so intervals resample whole windows.

Where it stands

1 predictions · 0 resolved · 0 void · 1 awaiting an outcome

Overall: none yet

All predictions

#	Region and window (UTC)	Said	Baseline	Outcome
1	Cape Mendocino [cape-mendocino] 2026-11-02 00:00:00 to 2026-11-16 00:00:00 Reasoning wondering	80.0%	32.3%	pending

Sidereal (Lahiri) astrology. Probabilities are scored, not believed. This is a statistics project.